Prediction models are important for all fields of medicine, and surgeons should understand
why prediction models improve the lives of the individuals we treat. This paper [
[1]
], written in conjunction with the American College of Surgeons (ACS), seeks to do
just that. Out of necessity this involves the use of statistics that most surgeons
have difficulty with. While this difficulty with statistics is understandable, it
does not make it acceptable to lower universally accepted standards.To read this article in full you will need to make a payment
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References
Grieco A, Huffman KM, Cohen ME, Hall BL, Morton JM, Ko CY. The Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery Accreditation and Quality Improvement Program Bariatric Surgical Risk/Benefit Calculator: 1-year weight. Surg Obes Relat Dis. Epub 2022 Dec 17.
International Committee of Medical Journal Editors (ICMJE) [Internet]. Vancouver (Canada): ICMJE; c2023 [cited 2023 Jan 22]. Manuscript preparation and submission; [about 9 screens]. Available from: https://www.icmje.org/recommendations/browse/manuscript-preparation/preparing-for-submission.html#d.
- Transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD): the TRIPOD statement.BMJ. 2015; 350: g7594
- Risk of bias in studies on prediction models developed using supervised machine learning techniques: systematic review.BMJ. 2021; 275: n2281
- Sleeve gastrectomy weight loss and the preoperative and postoperative predictors: a systematic review.Obes Surg. 2019; 29: 1388-1396
Article info
Publication history
Published online: February 06, 2023
Publication stage
In Press Journal Pre-ProofIdentification
Copyright
© 2023 American Society for Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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- The Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery Accreditation and Quality Improvement Program Bariatric Surgical Risk/Benefit Calculator: 1-year weightSurgery for Obesity and Related Diseases
- PreviewData-driven tools can be designed to provide patient-personalized estimates of health outcomes. Clinical calculators are commonly built to assess risk, but potential benefits of treatment should be equally considered. The American College of Surgeons Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery Accreditation and Quality Improvement Program (MBSAQIP) sought to create a risk and benefit calculator for adult patients considering primary metabolic and bariatric surgery with multiple prediction features: (1) 30-day risk, (2) 1-year body mass index (BMI) projections, and (3) 1-year co-morbidity remission.
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